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Moody's
rating agency has downgraded Slovenia's government bond rating by three
notches — to just two above junk — due to concerns about the country's
troubled banks and rising borrowing costs, AP reports.
The agency said the rating was reduced from A2 to
Baa2 because of the funding challenges the government faces and
"substantial" risks to the small European country's financial system.
Moody's added that "the deteriorating macroeconomic
environment" in Slovenia, first ex-Communist country to adopt the euro,
"opens the possibility that external assistance may be required."
The U.S. agency believes that the three banks are
likely to require capital support in the range of 2 percent to 8 percent
of GDP.
"The likelihood of support being needed is very
high," Moody's said in a statement, adding that a further negative
outlook is likely.
Slovenia's banking sector notched up its third
successive year of losses in 2012. The country's three biggest banks are
now calling for injections of capital by the state. The debt crisis has
led to a freeze on bank lending, particularly affecting the
construction and financial services.
Moody's noted that a potential additional debt burden
comes at a time when the government is already facing significant
challenges in its efforts to consolidate its fiscal position.
The general government deficit in 2010 was 6% of GDP
in 2010 and despite consolidation efforts that brought the deficit close
to 5% of GDP, capital transfers of 1.3% of GDP pushed the deficit to
6.4% for 2011. The center-right government is targeting a general
government deficit of 3.5% of GDP in 2012 and for 2013 it expects to
reduce the imbalance to 2.5% of GDP, Moody's said.
"However, continued weakness in the economy could
hinder the achievement of these targets," Moody's added. "Finally,
additional capital injections into the banking system could materially
affect the country's deficit trends."
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