|
Cyprus
is hoping for a EUR 5 billion bailout package from Russia. Unable to
raise debt on international capital markets and heavily exposed to the
financial woes of Greece, which is at the heart of the euro zone's debt
crisis, Cyprus also sees enormous volumes of transit money channelled
through offshore companies set up for Russian businesses.
Cyprus received 2.5 billion euros of credit from Russia last year.
The troubled Mediterranean island has also requested
assistance from the euro-zone financial decision-making "troika" of the
International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank and the European
Commission.
Russia's motives in extending such a huge credit line
to Cyprus were dubious, said Anna Bodrova, an analyst at InvestCafe.
They could include a desire to be involved in gas exploration projects
or preserve the stability of a country that sees big money flows from
large Russian companies, she added.
Cyprus is one of the biggest foreign investors in
Russia because of the cash that is temporarily relocated to the island
by Russian firms before being repatriated. There is a direct
relationship between the oil price and the value of non-resident
deposits in Cyprus.
"Russia has an interest in Cyprus being stable," said
Alexander Osin, chief economist at Finam. "Whether the [transit money]
is good or bad will be decided later."
The financial gap facing the government in Nicosia in
the last six months of 2012 is likely to reach 15 billion euros, or 80
percent of gross domestic product, analysts at VTB Capital said in a
report published Wednesday. The economy is forecast to contract by 1.5
percent this year.
Cyprus's economic and financial woes are already
having an impacting on how some Russian companies perceive it as an
offshore destination, a lawyer with a Western law firm in Moscow said.
The island has become less "user friendly" and there
is concern about the possibility of currency controls being imposed, he
added.
But others said that the fiscal woes have not yet
materially affected the demand for offshore companies. The first six
months of 2012 saw 9,445 new companies registered in Cyprus, compared to
9,999 in the same period in 2011, said Yekaterina Manskaya, a lawyer at
Cliff Legal Services.
The island's financial crisis was not a significant factor in the slight decrease, she added.
|