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Team Obama demonstrated remarkable discipline during the
presidential campaign. From raising an unprecedented amount of money to
milking every advantage from the Internet to grabbing lots of delegates
from inexpensive caucus states, they left nothing to chance.
And now the administration has scored a major legislative victory in
an extraordinarily short period of time. Less than 700 hours after
taking the oath of office, President Barack Obama signed the largest
spending bill in American history. Nevertheless, this fast start can't overcome a growing sense the administration is winging it on issues large and small.
Take the vetting of cabinet nominees. Mr. Obama's aides ignored a
federal investigation of New Mexico's Gov. Bill Richardson that started
last August for a possible pay-for-play scandal. Mr. Richardson had to
withdraw after being named to become secretary of commerce.
The administration treated as inconsequential the failure of its
choices for Treasury secretary and White House performance officer, as
well as its labor secretary-designate's spouse, to pay taxes. It failed
to uncover Tom Daschle's problems with more than $102,943 in previously
unpaid taxes, penalties and interest -- and once it did, aides assumed
Mr. Daschle would be given a pass.
Team Obama promised Gen. Anthony Zinni he'd be ambassador to Iraq,
then cut him loose without explanation. After the Bill Richardson
fiasco, it romanced Republican Sen. Judd Gregg for commerce secretary
-- then ignored his advice on the stimulus and wouldn't trust him with
running the department, moving supervision of the Census into the White
House. Mr. Gregg withdrew himself from consideration.
Then there is the stimulus itself. Mr. Obama's economic team met
with congressional leaders in December to green light a bill costing up
to $850 billion. But they described less than $200 billion of what they
wanted in the envelope. In return for outsourcing the bill's drafting
to Congress, the administration took on two responsibilities: running
polls to advise Hill Democrats on how to sharpen their marketing, and
putting the president on the road to sell a bill others wrote. Team Obama was winging it when it declared the stimulus would "save
or create" 2.5 million, then three million, then 3.7 million, and then
four million new jobs. These were arbitrary and erratic numbers, and
they knew there's no way to count "saved" jobs. Americans, being
commonsensical, will focus on Mr. Obama's promise to "create" jobs.
It's highly unlikely that more than 180,000 jobs will be created each
month by the end of next year. The precise, state-by-state job numbers
the administration used to sell the stimulus are likely to come back to
haunt them as well.
Bipartisanship? The administration failed even to respond to GOP
offers to endorse an Obama campaign proposal to suspend capital gains
taxes for new small businesses.
Inexplicably, the president, in a prime-time press conference,
raised expectations for Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner's bank rescue
plan, which turned out the next day to be no plan at all. The markets
craved details; they got none. When markets cratered, spokesmen didn't
acknowledge the administration's poor planning, but blamed the markets.
Team Obama was also winging it on enhanced interrogation of
terrorists. First it nullified all the Bush administration's legal
authorities before considering what rules it should have in place. When
the CIA briefed White House officials on the results obtained from
these techniques, the administration backtracked and organized a
four-month study of what rules were appropriate.
Something similar happened with the promise to close Guantanamo Bay
within a year: The administration has no idea what it will do with the
violent terrorists detained there. And on ethics, Mr. Obama proclaimed
an end to lobbyist influence in government -- even as he was nominating
lobbyists for major posts and filling White House ranks with former
lobbyists.
Team Obama has been living off its campaign reputation for planning
and execution. That reputation is now frayed, and all the bumbling and
unforced errors will have an impact. Such things don't go unnoticed on
Capitol Hill or in foreign capitals.
The president, a bright and skilled politician, has plenty of time
to recover. The danger is that what we have seen is not an aberration,
but the early indications of his governing style. Barack Obama won the
job he craved, now he must demonstrate that he and his team are up to
its requirements. The signs are worrisome. The world is a dangerous
place. The days of winging it need to end. //02.19.09 Karl Rove
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